Pengaruh Tingkat Pendidikan dan Kemiskinan terhadap Kriminalitas di Aceh: Analisis Data Panel dengan Fixed Effects Model (2020–2024)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.35870/emt.v9i4.4507Keywords:
Crime Rate, Education, Poverty, Panel Data, Aceh, Fixed Effects Model (FEM)Abstract
This study examines the influence of education level and poverty on crime rates in Aceh Province during the 2020–2024 period using a quantitative approach and panel data analysis through the Fixed Effects Model (FEM). Based on data from 23 regencies/municipalities, the findings reveal that both education and poverty jointly have a significant effect on crime. However, only poverty shows a statistically significant partial effect (p = 0.0524), with a negative coefficient, while education does not have a statistically significant influence (p = 0.9654). The adjusted R² value of 63.64% indicates that the model provides a strong explanation of the variance in regional crime rates. The counterintuitive result regarding poverty suggests that in the context of Aceh, strong social cohesion and religious norms may mitigate the criminogenic effects of economic hardship. These findings imply that crime prevention strategies must go beyond economic indicators and incorporate local socio-cultural dynamics. Policy recommendations include implementing context-based educational reforms, promoting community-driven poverty alleviation programs, and fostering cross-sectoral collaboration among education, social welfare, and public security stakeholders.
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Copyright (c) 2025 Deshinta Suci, Mirnawati Mirnawati; Zahriatul Aini
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