Published: 2025-07-10

Pengaruh PAD, Pendapatan Transfer, Belanja Hibah Dan Belanja Bantuan Sosial Terhadap Tingkat Kemiskinan (Studi pada Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Sumatera Barat Periode 2020-2023)

DOI: 10.35870/emt.v9i3.3995

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Abstract

This study analyzes the effect of Local Original Revenue (PAD), Transfer Revenue, Grants, and Social Assistance on poverty rates in districts and cities in West Sumatra Province in the period 2020–2023, using multiple linear regression with secondary data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and the Directorate General of Fiscal Balance (DJPK). The results of the study indicate that PAD, transfer revenue, grants, and social assistance together have a significant effect on poverty rates, with a determination coefficient R² of 0.241, which explains 24.10% of the variation in poverty and the rest is influenced by other variables not included in this study. Statistically, PAD, grants, and social assistance have a significant effect, while transfer revenue shows a weaker and insignificant effect. These findings suggest that policymakers optimize the allocation of PAD, grants, and social assistance spending to reduce poverty rates more effectively.

Keywords

Social Spending; Government Expenditure; Regional Income; Poverty Rate

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