Model Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Dengan Pendekatan Vector Error Correction Model di Provinsi Jawa Barat Tahun 2018-2022
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.35870/jemsi.v11i3.4156Keywords:
Economic Growth, Unemployment, Poverty, Minimum WageAbstract
This study aims to determine and analyze economic growth in West Java Province. In addition, it also analyzes the effect of poverty, poverty rate and minimum wage on economic growth in 2018-2022. This type of research is conducted with a quantitative approach. Secondary data sources with data collection through literature studies and the official website of the West Java Province BPS. This study uses the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) method. The sampling technique uses purposive sampling, with a total sample of 135 samples from 27 districts/cities in West Java Province. Based on the results of the short-term analysis, the poverty variable has a significant negative effect on economic growth. Then the poverty and minimum wage variables do not affect the economic growth variable. Furthermore, in the long term all variables, namely poverty, poverty rate and minimum wage have a significant negative effect on economic growth.
Downloads
References
Amdan, L., & Sanjani, M. R. I. (2023). Analisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia. EKOMA: Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, Akuntansi, 3(1), 108-119.
Dewi, N. K. V. A., & Bendesa, I. K. G. (2020). Analisis pengaruh investasi dan upah minimum kabupaten terhadap kesempatan kerja dan pertumbuhan ekonomi di Bali. E Jurnal EP Unud, 9(3), 595-625.
Dumais, J. D., Rotinsulu, T. O., & Walewangko, E. N. (2022). Pengaruh investasi, tenaga kerja dan kemiskinan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di kabupaten Minahasa Utara. Jurnal Berkala Ilmiah Efisiensi, 22(5), 49-60.
Endang, E., Astuti, H., Ulandari, S. A., & Agustin, W. (2023). Pengaruh Inflasi dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka di Provinsi Jawa Timur. Jurnal Mirai Management, 8(3). https://doi.org/10.37531/mirai.v8i3.5792.
Ghinastri, S. L., & Syafitri, W. (2024). Pengaruh upah minimum kabupaten/kota (UMK) terhadap tingkat pengangguran terbuka (TPT) dan kemiskinan. Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies (JDESS), 3(1).
Hartati, N. (2020). Pengaruh inflasi dan tingkat pengangguran terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di indonesia periode 2010–2016. Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah Pelita Bangsa, 5(01), 92-119. https://doi.org/10.37366/jespb.v5i01.86.
Indradewa, I. G. A., & Natha, K. S. (2015). Pengaruh inflasi, PDRB dan Upah Minimum terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja di provinsi Bali. E-Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Universitas Udayana, 4(8), 44563.
Kusumawati, L., & Wiksuana, I. G. B. (2018). Pengaruh Pendapatan Daerah Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Wilayah Sarbagita Provinsi Bali. E-Jurnal Manajemen Universitas Udayana, 7(5), 2592.
Lidyanti, A. T., & Hanifa, N. (2022). Pengaruh Tingkat Pengangguran dan Tingkat Kemiskinan Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Kabupaten Sidoarjo. Independent: Journal of Economics, 2(1), 16-30.
Masdi, M., Yuniza, N., & Nurkhalis, N. (2023). Pengaruh indeks pembangunan manusia dan pengangguran terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Provinsi Aceh. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Pembangunan, 14(1), 101-113.
Mukaromah, L., Hanifatuzzahra, Z., Nasrullah, A., Latifah, T. M., Purwaningsih, V. T., & Suparta, I. W. (2023). Pengaruh Indeks Pembangunan Manusia, Tingkat Upah Minimum, Dan Tingkat Pengangguran Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia Tahun 2022. ANALISIS, 13(2), 228-245. https://doi.org/10.37478/als.v13i2.2874.
Nadila, N. (2023). Pengaruh Tingkat Pendidikan dan Kemiskinan Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Provinsi DKI Jakarta Periode 2017-2021. Trending: Jurnal Manajemen dan Ekonomi, 1(1), 08-19.
Pratiwi, H., Prawastyorini, A. N., & Sugiyanto, S. (2019). Analisis data panel pada tingkat pengangguran terbuka kabupaten/kota di Pulau Jawa. Jurnal Matematika, Statistika dan Komputasi, 16(1), 51-57. https://doi.org/10.20956/jmsk.v16i1.6713.
Putri, P., & Nailufar, F. (2022). Pengaruh Bonus Demografi, Pengangguran Dan Inflasi Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Provinsi Jambi. Jurnal Ekonomika Indonesia, 11(2), 15-21. https://doi.org/10.29103/ekonomika.v11i2.9852.
Putri, S. S. (2023). Analisis Pengaruh Tingkat Kemiskinan dan Pengangguran Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Kab/Kota DKI Jakarta Tahun 2017-2021. Inisiatif: Jurnal Ekonomi, Akuntansi dan Manajemen, 2(1), 39-51.
Rahman, R., & Putri, D. Z. (2021). Analisis Pengaruh Upah Minimum, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Jumlah Penduduk dan Inflasi Terhadap Ketimpangan Pendapatan Provinsi di Pulau Sumatera. Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Dan Pembangunan, 3(3), 37-48.
Romhadhoni, P., Faizah, D. Z., & Afifah, N. (2019). Pengaruh Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB) daerah terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi dan tingkat pengangguran terbuka di Provinsi DKI Jakarta. Jurnal Matematika Integratif, 14(2), 113.
Safitri, R., & Endang, E. (2024). Pengaruh Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Jumlah Penduduk, Pendidikan Terhadap Pengangguran Terdidik di Jawa Timur. Ekonomis: Journal of Economics and Business, 8(1), 545-550. https://doi.org/10.33087/ekonomis.v8i1.1563.
Safuridar, S. (2017). Pengaruh pertumbuhan ekonomi terhadap kemiskinan di Kabupaten Aceh Timur. Ihtiyath: jurnal manajemen keuangan syariah, 1(1). https://doi.org/10.32505/ihtiyath.v1i1.674.
Somba, A., Engka, D. S., & Sumual, J. I. (2021). Analisis Pengaruh Pengangguran Dan Kemiskinan Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Sulawesi Utara. Jurnal Berkala Ilmiah Efisiensi, 21(5).
Sukirno, S. (2011). Makro ekonomi teori pengantar edisi ketiga. Rajawali Pers, Jakarta, 90.
Susilo, J. H., Anam, M. S., & Alfiyana, S. (2023). Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia dengan Pendekatan Data Panel Dinamis Tahun 2012-2021. JEMSI (Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, dan Akuntansi), 9(2), 312-321. https://doi.org/10.35870/jemsi.v9i2.1024.
Susilo, J. H., Tsani, L. I., Herianto, H., & Kholilurrohman, M. (2020). Econometrics Model of Economic Growth in East Java Province with Dynamic Panel Data through Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) Approach. Ekuilibrium: Jurnal Ilmiah Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi, 15(1), 38-54.
Susilowati, D., & Adianita, H. (2023). Pengaruh Pengangguran dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Terhadap Indeks Pembangunan Manusia: Pengalaman dari Kabupaten Bojonegoro. Peradaban Journal of Economic and Business, 2(1), 77-98. https://doi.org/10.59001/pjeb.v2i1.57.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Joko Hadi Susilo, Agustina Naviatur Nurul Laila, Siti Alfiyana
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
1. Copyright Retention and Open Access License
Authors retain copyright of their work and grant the journal non-exclusive right of first publication under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).
This license allows unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
2. Rights Granted Under CC BY 4.0
Under this license, readers are free to:
- Share — copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format
- Adapt — remix, transform, and build upon the material for any purpose, including commercial use
- No additional restrictions — the licensor cannot revoke these freedoms as long as license terms are followed
3. Attribution Requirements
All uses must include:
- Proper citation of the original work
- Link to the Creative Commons license
- Indication if changes were made to the original work
- No suggestion that the licensor endorses the user or their use
4. Additional Distribution Rights
Authors may:
- Deposit the published version in institutional repositories
- Share through academic social networks
- Include in books, monographs, or other publications
- Post on personal or institutional websites
Requirement: All additional distributions must maintain the CC BY 4.0 license and proper attribution.
5. Self-Archiving and Pre-Print Sharing
Authors are encouraged to:
- Share pre-prints and post-prints online
- Deposit in subject-specific repositories (e.g., arXiv, bioRxiv)
- Engage in scholarly communication throughout the publication process
6. Open Access Commitment
This journal provides immediate open access to all content, supporting the global exchange of knowledge without financial, legal, or technical barriers.
