Dampak Kredit UMKM dan Tingkat Suku Bunga terhadap Pertumbuhan UMKM di Indonesia
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.35870/emt.v10i2.5946Keywords:
MSME Credit, Interest Rate, MSME Growth, Panel Data, Monetary PolicyAbstract
This study aims to examine the impact of MSME Credit and Interest Rates (BI Rate) on MSME Growth in Indonesia. Using panel data from five provinces during the 2019–2023 period, the study applies the Panel Least Squares method with White cross-section robust standard errors to obtain reliable estimates. The findings reveal that MSME Credit has a positive and significant effect on MSME Growth, confirming that access to productive financing plays a crucial role in enhancing the capacity and performance of micro, small, and medium enterprises. The BI Rate also shows a positive and significant effect, although its contribution is smaller compared to MSME Credit. The model explains 74.69% of the variation in MSME Growth, indicating that both variables serve as key determinants of MSME performance in Indonesia. These results imply the importance of expanding access to productive credit and maintaining monetary stability to support sustainable MSME development.
Downloads
References
Ayyagari, M., Demirguc-Kunt, A., & Maksimovic, V. (2021). Are large firms born or made? Evidence from developing countries. Small Business Economics, 57(1), 191–219.
Beck, T., & Demirguc-Kunt, A. (2006). Small and medium-size enterprises: Access to finance as a growth constraint. Journal of Banking & Finance, 30(11), 2931–2943.
Biasmara, H. A. (2022). Pengaruh tingkat suku bunga, inflasi, dan kredit bermasalah terhadap penyaluran kredit UMKM di Indonesia. Jurnal Manajemen Bisnis dan Kewirausahaan, 6(1), 95–100.
Divergences, N. G. (2023). World economic outlook. World Economic Outlook.
Fahmi, A., Yustisia, N., & Evi, T. (2023). Analysis of determinants of working capital credit growth at Bank Persero in Indonesia. Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Studies, 6(05), 2172–2180.
Gujarati, D. N., & Porter, D. C. (2009). Basic econometrics. McGraw-Hill.
Inayah, K. (2025). Interest rate policy and MSME credit growth in the era of digital financial inclusion: Panel data analysis. Economics Monetary Journal, 1(2), 77–86.
Kotzé, L. J., & Kim, R. E. (2022). Towards planetary nexus governance in the Anthropocene: An earth system law perspective. Global Policy, 13, 86–97.
Muliadi, M., Darma, D. C., & Kasuma, J. (2020). MSMEs as mediation in the effects of investment credit, interest rates, and labor on economic growth. International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies (2147-4486), 9(2), 01–12. https://doi.org/10.20525/ijfbs.v9i2.702.
Ozili, P. K. (2023). Impact of monetary policy on financial inclusion in emerging markets. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 16(7), 303.
Rohmah, N., & Suseno, D. A. (2025). Internal and external factors of MSME credit growth in Indonesia: A Markov switching approach. Jurnal REP (Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan), 10(1), 1–16.
Setiawan, I. T., Prasetyo, T. D., Geniusa, A., Utomo, I. B., & Rhamadani, A. N. (2023). Dimensi penawaran, permintaan, serta penetrasi kredit usaha rakyat dan ultra mikro wilayah Maluku serta pengaruh pada indeks pembangunan manusia sektor ekonomi. Jurnal Manajemen Perbendaharaan, 4(1), 16–34.
Srifitri, R., & Berliana, S. (2023). The impact of interest rates on firms financial decisions. ArXiv Preprint ArXiv:2311.14738.
Sugandi, E. A. (2022). Indonesia’s financial markets and monetary policy dynamics amid the Covid-19 pandemic. Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, 29(3), 411–447.
Syera, I. A., Yusuf, M., & Fitrawaty. (2018). The analysis factors of micro small and medium enterprises income in Indonesia. In Proceedings of the 1st Unimed International Conference on Economics Education and Social Science (pp. 447–454). https://doi.org/10.5220/0009501704470454.
Tambunan, E. C., Enuh, K., Ubaidullah, U., & Tamba, M. (2022a). Capital access for micro small medium enterprises. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Perbankan Syariah, 10(2), 148–158.
Tambunan, E. C., Enuh, K., Ubaidullah, U., & Tamba, M. (2022b). Capital access for micro small medium enterprises. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Perbankan Syariah, 10(2), 148–158.
Tambunan, T. (2012). Usaha mikro kecil dan menengah di Indonesia: Isu-isu penting. LP3ES.
Wirawan, R. (2024). The impact of microfinance on the income of micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSE) in Indonesia: A sectoral analysis. Wiga: Jurnal Penelitian Ilmu Ekonomi, 14(2), 274–285.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Juni Sasmiharti, Meti Nurhayati

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
1. Copyright Retention and Open Access License
Authors retain copyright of their work and grant the journal non-exclusive right of first publication under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).
This license allows unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
2. Rights Granted Under CC BY 4.0
Under this license, readers are free to:
- Share — copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format
- Adapt — remix, transform, and build upon the material for any purpose, including commercial use
- No additional restrictions — the licensor cannot revoke these freedoms as long as license terms are followed
3. Attribution Requirements
All uses must include:
- Proper citation of the original work
- Link to the Creative Commons license
- Indication if changes were made to the original work
- No suggestion that the licensor endorses the user or their use
4. Additional Distribution Rights
Authors may:
- Deposit the published version in institutional repositories
- Share through academic social networks
- Include in books, monographs, or other publications
- Post on personal or institutional websites
Requirement: All additional distributions must maintain the CC BY 4.0 license and proper attribution.
5. Self-Archiving and Pre-Print Sharing
Authors are encouraged to:
- Share pre-prints and post-prints online
- Deposit in subject-specific repositories (e.g., arXiv, bioRxiv)
- Engage in scholarly communication throughout the publication process
6. Open Access Commitment
This journal provides immediate open access to all content, supporting the global exchange of knowledge without financial, legal, or technical barriers.