Pengaruh Liquidity Shock, Market Risk, dan Abnormal Trading Volume terhadap Return Saham (Studi pada Sektor Energi)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.35870/jemsi.v12i4.6551Keywords:
Liquidity Shock, Market Risk, Beta, Abnormal Trading Volume, Stock ReturnAbstract
The Indonesian energy sector has exhibited significant fluctuations following the energy crisis triggered by global geopolitical instability and post-pandemic demand shocks. This study aims to analyze the influence of Liquidity Shock, Market Risk, and Abnormal Trading Volume on the stock returns of companies listed in the Energy Sectorin Indonesia. This research employs a quantitative approach utilizing secondary data spanning from January 2022 to December 2024. Samples were selected using a purposive sampling technique, and the data were analyzed using a multiple linear regression model. The results of this study indicate that (1) Simultaneously, Liquidity Shock, Market Risk, and Abnormal Trading Volume significantly influence stock returns. (2) Partially, Liquidity Shock and Abnormal Trading Volume have a positive influence and serve as key factors in determining stock returns, whereas Market Risk is proven to have a significant negative impact on stock returns.
Downloads
References
Bhattacharya, S. N., Bhattacharya, M., & Basu, S. (2019). Stock market and its liquidity: Evidence from ARDL bound testing approach in the Indian context. Cogent Economics & Finance, 7(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2019.1586297.
Bhattacharya, S. N., Bhattacharya, M., & Jha, S. K. (2020). Liquidity and asset pricing: Evidence from Indian stock market. Indian Journal of Finance and Banking, 4(1), 109–116. https://doi.org/10.46281/IJFB.V4I1.604.
Bimenyimana, J.-C., Mei-sheng, D., & Jallow, M. L. (2025). Is the stock market a “barometer” of the economy? Based on South Africa comprehensive analysis. Economics, 13(3), 409–427. https://doi.org/10.2478/eoik-2025-0072.
Cao, Z., Wu, W., & Wu, Y. (2025). Economic uncertainty and the beta anomaly. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.4034987.
Dano, Di. (2022). Analisis dampak konflik Rusia-Ukraina terhadap harga bahan bakar minyak Indonesia. CENDEKIA: Jurnal Ilmu Pengetahuan, 2(3), 261–269. https://doi.org/10.51878/cendekia.v2i3.1494.
Dash, S. R., & Maitra, D. (2022). The COVID-19 pandemic uncertainty, investor sentiment, and global equity markets: Evidence from the time-frequency co-movements. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 62, 101712. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.NAJEF.2022.101712.
Detik.com. (2022). Perang dimulai! Rusia luncurkan invasi skala penuh di Ukraina.
Elomari-Kessab, S., Maitrier, G., Bonart, J., & Bouchaud, J.-P. (2024). Microstructure modes -- Disentangling the joint dynamics of prices & order flow. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.4831906.
Feng, F. Y., Kang, W., & Zhang, H. (2023). Liquidity shocks and the negative premium of liquidity volatility around the world. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.3930591.
Hertina, D., Bayu, M., & Hidayat, H. (2018). Financial performance and systemic risk effect on stock return (Case study on oil and gas companies listed in IDX year 2011-2016): Kinerja keuangan dan pengaruh risiko sistemik terhadap return saham (Studi kasus pada perusahaan migas yang terdaftar di BEI tahun 2011-2016). Perisai: Islamic Banking and Finance Journal, 2(2), 87–100. https://doi.org/10.21070/PERISAI.V2I2.1533.
Hirsch, M., Cook, D., Lajbcygier, P., & Hyndman, R. (2019). Revealing high-frequency trading provision of liquidity with visualization. ACM International Conference Proceeding Series, 157–165. https://doi.org/10.1145/3305160.3305214.
Hu, O., Huang, Z., & Zheng, M. (2025). Stock market liquidity shock and macroeconomy: Evidence from G7 countries. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.5354141.
Jang, J. (2022). What drives stock market underreaction to liquidity shocks? Evidence from Korea. Asia-Pacific Journal of Financial Studies, 51(1), 44–80. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajfs.12360.
Judith & Setiawan, T. (2025). Determinants of future stock returns in the financial industry. In Indonesian Interdisciplinary Journal of Sharia Economics (IIJSE) (Vol. 8, Number 3). https://doi.org/10.31538/IIJSE.V8I3.7014.
Kementerian ESDM. (2026). Harga acuan - Ditjen Minerba.
Kresta, A., Xiong, J., & Maidiya, B. (2024). Sentiment and stock characteristics: Comprehensive study of individual investor influence on returns, volatility, and trading volumes. Business Systems Research, 15(2), 67–82. https://doi.org/10.2478/bsrj-2024-0018.
KSEI. (2024). Statistik pasar modal Indonesia 2024. https://doi.org/10.311.152.
Kumar, G., & Misra, A. K. (2019). Liquidity-adjusted CAPM — An empirical analysis on Indian stock market. Cogent Economics & Finance, 7(1), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2019.1573471.
Li, M., Yin, X., & Zhao, J. (2024). Persistence or reversal? The effects of abnormal trading volume on stock returns. The European Journal of Finance. https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.2024.2303092.
Ma, R., Anderson, H. D., & Marshall, B. R. (2017). Market volatility, liquidity shocks, and stock returns: Worldwide evidence. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 49, 164–199. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.PACFIN.2018.04.008.
Ma, X., & Zhang, X. (2021). The predictive performance of liquidity risk. Cogent Economics & Finance, 9(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1966194.
Meilani, H. (2022). Dampak konflik Rusia-Ukraina terhadap sektor energi Indonesia.
Napitupulu, R. B., Simanjuntak, T. P., Hutabarat, L., Damanik, H., Harianja, H., Sirait, R. T. M., & Tobing, C. E. R. L. (2021). Penelitian bisnis, teknik dan analisa dengan SPSS-STATA-Eviews. Madenatera.
Riyanto, S., & Hatmawan, A. A. (2022). Metode riset penelitian kuantitatif penelitian di bidang manajemen, teknik, pendidikan dan eksperimen. DEEPUBLISH.
Suardi, S., Xu, C., & Zhou, Z. I. (2022). COVID-19 pandemic and liquidity commonality. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 78, 101572. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.INTFIN.2022.101572.
Thamrin, J., & Sembel, R. (2020). The effect of company’s fundamental, market return and macroeconomic to stock return: A case study of consumer goods companies listed in BEI period 2009-2018. International Journal of Business, 4(3), 184–197. https://doi.org/10.32924/IJBS.V4I3.115.
Tlemsani, I., Alkhaldi, A., Aljeshi, B., Alluwaimi, I., Alrayes, J., Tlemsani, I., Alkhaldi, A., Aljeshi, B., Alluwaimi, I., & Alrayes, J. (2020). Analysis of the capital asset pricing model: Application to General Electric performance. Theoretical Economics Letters, 10(5), 1103–1112. https://doi.org/10.4236/TEL.2020.105065.
Widhiarti, R. P., Anggraeni, L., & Pasaribu, S. H. (2018). Analysis of investor sentiment impact in Indonesia composite stock price index return volatility. Indonesian Journal of Business and Entrepreneurship, 4(3), 239–239. https://doi.org/10.17358/IJBE.4.3.239.
Wright, C., & Swidler, S. (2023). Abnormal trading volume, news and market efficiency: Evidence from the Jamaica Stock Exchange. Research in International Business and Finance, 64. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2022.101804.
Zaidi, S. H., & Rupeika-Apoga, R. (2021). Liquidity synchronization, its determinants and outcomes under economic growth volatility: Evidence from emerging Asian economies. Risks, 9(2), 43. https://doi.org/10.3390/RISKS9020043.
Zaremba, A., Aharon, D. Y., Demir, E., Kizys, R., & Zawadka, D. (2021). COVID-19, government policy responses, and stock market liquidity around the world: A note. Research in International Business and Finance, 56, 101359. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.RIBAF.2020.101359.
Zhang, J. (2024). Empirical test and analysis of capital asset pricing model (CAPM) in China’s capital market. Frontiers in Business, Economics and Management, 17(3), 399–403. https://doi.org/10.54097/P7W24Q63.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Sinthia Dewi, Ilzar Daud, Anggraini Syahputri, Giriati Giriati, Anwar Azazi

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
1. Copyright Retention and Open Access License
Authors retain copyright of their work and grant the journal non-exclusive right of first publication under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).
This license allows unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
2. Rights Granted Under CC BY 4.0
Under this license, readers are free to:
- Share — copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format
- Adapt — remix, transform, and build upon the material for any purpose, including commercial use
- No additional restrictions — the licensor cannot revoke these freedoms as long as license terms are followed
3. Attribution Requirements
All uses must include:
- Proper citation of the original work
- Link to the Creative Commons license
- Indication if changes were made to the original work
- No suggestion that the licensor endorses the user or their use
4. Additional Distribution Rights
Authors may:
- Deposit the published version in institutional repositories
- Share through academic social networks
- Include in books, monographs, or other publications
- Post on personal or institutional websites
Requirement: All additional distributions must maintain the CC BY 4.0 license and proper attribution.
5. Self-Archiving and Pre-Print Sharing
Authors are encouraged to:
- Share pre-prints and post-prints online
- Deposit in subject-specific repositories (e.g., arXiv, bioRxiv)
- Engage in scholarly communication throughout the publication process
6. Open Access Commitment
This journal provides immediate open access to all content, supporting the global exchange of knowledge without financial, legal, or technical barriers.