Published: 2026-02-01

Pengaruh Upah Minimum Provinsi, PDRB, IPM, Dan Tingkat Pengangguran Terhadap Penyerapan Tenaga Kerja di Pulau Sumatra

DOI: 10.35870/jemsi.v12i1.5853

Nissya Kaniaputri Jayadiwinata, Ruth Eviana Hutabarat
  • Nissya Kaniaputri Jayadiwinata: Universitas Negeri Surabaya
  • Ruth Eviana Hutabarat: Universitas Negeri Surabaya
Front Cover JEMSI Volume 12 Nomor 1 Februari 2026
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Abstract

Indonesia's economic development is a complex process that includes improving people's welfare, productivity and expanding employment opportunities. However, regional disparities are still evident, especially in several provinces on the island of Sumatra. There is a phenomenon of minimum wage increases without an increase in labor absorption (high wage low employment growth) and economic growth without job creation (jobless growth), resulting in an imbalance between economic growth and labor absorption, which slows down the rate of decline in the unemployment rate. This study aims to analyze the effect of UMP, PDRB, IPM, and unemployment rate on labor absorption in ten provinces in Sumatra during 2020-2024. The data was obtained from  Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) and analyzed using panel data regression with the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) method. The results of the analysis show that the UMP has a negative and significant effect on labor absorption, while the GRDP, HDI, and unemployment rate have a positive and significant effect on labor absorption in Sumatra in 2020–2024.

Keywords

Employment Absorption; Minimum Wage; Gross Regional Domestic Product; Human Development Index; Unemployment Rate

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How to Cite

Jayadiwinata, N. K., & Hutabarat, R. E. (2026). Pengaruh Upah Minimum Provinsi, PDRB, IPM, Dan Tingkat Pengangguran Terhadap Penyerapan Tenaga Kerja di Pulau Sumatra. JEMSI (Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, Dan Akuntansi), 12(1), 550-563. https://doi.org/10.35870/jemsi.v12i1.5853
Article Information

This article has been peer-reviewed and published in the JEMSI (Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, dan Akuntansi). The content is available under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

  • Issue: Vol. 12 No. 1 (2026)

  • Section: Articles

  • Published: 2026-02-01

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Author Biographies
Nissya Kaniaputri Jayadiwinata, Universitas Negeri Surabaya
Google Scholar ResearchGate ORCID

Ekonomi, Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis, Universitas Negeri Surabaya, Jl. Ketintang No.2, Ketintang, Kec. Gayungan, Surabaya, Jawa Timur, Indonesia.

Ruth Eviana Hutabarat, Universitas Negeri Surabaya
Google Scholar ResearchGate ORCID

Ekonomi, Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis, Universitas Negeri Surabaya, Jl. Ketintang No.2, Ketintang, Kec. Gayungan, Surabaya, Jawa Timur, Indonesia.

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