Pengaruh Nilai Tukar dan Nilai Ekspor Gas Alam Terhadap Penerimaan Pajak Ekspor

Authors

  • Sinar Tiara Universitas Islam Negeri Ar-Raniry
  • Khairul Amri Universitas Islam Negeri Ar-Raniry

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.35870/jemensri.v8i1.3036

Keywords:

Export Tax Revenues, Exchange Rate, Natural Gas Export Value, Multiple Linear Regression, VECM

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the influence of the exchange rate and the value of natural gas exports on Indonesian export tax revenues and analyze the causal relationship between these three variables. Using data in the form of time series data for the period 2005 to 2022 (n = 18). Data were analyzed using Multiple Linear Regression and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) methods. The results of this research show that in the long term the value of natural gas exports has a positive and significant effect on export tax revenues. Meanwhile, in the short term, export tax revenues in the previous year have a negative and significant effect on the value of natural gas exports in the current year. The results of this research also show that there is a two-way causal relationship between the Natural Gas Export Value and the Exchange Rate. Furthermore, there is a one-way causal relationship between Export Tax Revenues and the Exchange Rate and between Natural Gas Export Values and Export Tax Revenues.

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Author Biographies

  • Sinar Tiara, Universitas Islam Negeri Ar-Raniry

    Universitas Islam Negeri Ar-Raniry, Kota Banda Aceh, Provinsi Aceh, Indonesia.

  • Khairul Amri, Universitas Islam Negeri Ar-Raniry

    Universitas Islam Negeri Ar-Raniry, Kota Banda Aceh, Provinsi Aceh, Indonesia.

References

Amri, K. (2017). Analisis pertumbuhan ekonomi dan ketimpangan pendapatan: Data panel 8 provinsi di Sumatera. Jurnal EMT Kita, 1(1), 1-11. DOI: https://doi.org/10.35870/emt.v1i1.22.

Aryati, A. (2020). Pengaruh Nilai Tukar Rupiah, Suku Bunga dan Tingkat Inflasi Terhadap Penerimaan Pajak di Kota Makassar. PARADOKS: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 3(1), 156-168.

Bailey, M. J., Tavlas, G. S., & Ulan, M. (1987). The impact of exchange-rate volatility on export growth: some theoretical considerations and empirical results. Journal of Policy Modeling, 9(1), 225-243. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0161-8938(87)90010-X.

Bournakis, I., & Tsoukis, C. (2016). Government size, institutions, and export performance among OECD economies. Economic Modelling, 53, 37-47. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2015.11.011.

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Published

2023-04-30

Issue

Section

Articles

How to Cite

Tiara, S., & Amri, K. (2023). Pengaruh Nilai Tukar dan Nilai Ekspor Gas Alam Terhadap Penerimaan Pajak Ekspor. Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen Dan Sekretari, 8(1), 43-55. https://doi.org/10.35870/jemensri.v8i1.3036

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