Dinamika Penurunan Kunjungan Wisatawan Mancanegara di Bali Tahun 2025
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.35870/jtik.v10i3.6307Keywords:
Bali Tourism, Declining Arrivals, Sustainable Tourism, Tourism DynamicsAbstract
The decline in foreign tourist arrivals in Bali in 2025 represents a critical issue, given the strategic role of tourism in regional economic development and community welfare. This phenomenon occurs amid intensified global tourism competition and significant changes in international travel behavior. This study aims to examine the dynamics of declining foreign tourist arrivals in Bali and to identify the key factors influencing this trend. A descriptive qualitative approach was employed by analyzing tourism-related conditions and phenomena without relying on interview-based data. The findings indicate that the decline in foreign tourist arrivals is driven by an interplay of global and local factors, including global economic uncertainty, shifts in tourist preferences, destination overcrowding, environmental concerns, and the perceived quality of tourism experiences. The impact of this decline extends beyond the core tourism sector to supporting industries and local communities that depend on tourism-related activities. These findings emphasize the need for adaptive and sustainable tourism management strategies to strengthen Bali’s competitiveness as an international tourism destination amid evolving global tourism dynamics.
Downloads
References
Abdullah, A., Azmi, A., Mat Isa, N., Sucita Yanthy, P., & Lis Indrinanto, T. (2025). Perceived risks and evolving travel expectations: The reimagining of Langkawi and Bali tourism landscapes after COVID-19. Jurnal Kajian Bali (Journal of Bali Studies), 15(2), 633–655. https://doi.org/10.24843/JKB.2025.v15.i02.p08.
Bhunia, R., Chakraborty, A., Santra, S., Sarkar, A., Jana, S., & Dasgupta, S. (2025). Thematic analysis for text review detection using machine learning. In Mathematics and Computer Science for Real‐World Applications (pp. 469–482). Wiley. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781394275359.ch27
Budhi, M. K. S., Lestari, N. P. N. E., & Suasih, N. N. R. (2022). The recovery of the tourism industry in Bali province through the penta-helix collaboration strategy in the new normal era. GeoJournal of Tourism and Geosites, 40(1), 167–174. https://doi.org/10.30892/gtg.40120-816.
Chin, W. L., & Hampton, M. P. (2020). The relationship between destination competitiveness and residents’ quality of life: Lessons from Bali. Tourism and Hospitality Management, 26(2), 311–336. https://doi.org/10.20867/thm.26.2.3.
Creswell, J. W. (2022). Research design: Qualitative, quantitative, and mixed methods approaches. Sage Publications.
Feuer, Z. S., & Makarov, D. V. (2025). Qualitative and mixed methods in urology. In Translational Urology (pp. 195–198). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-323-90186-4.00083-3.
George, G., Varghese, B., & Kulkarni, M. (2024). Synergy unleashed: Smart governance, sustainable tourism, and the bioeconomy (pp. 411–419). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-97-1260-1_34.
Grigoriadis, P., Salepaki, A., Angelou, I., & Kourkouridis, D. (2025). Risk and resilience in tourism: How political instability and social conditions influence destination choices. Tourism and Hospitality, 6(2), 83. https://doi.org/10.3390/tourhosp6020083.
Gupta, S., Shukla, V., & Pandiya, B. (2022). Tourists’ motivation towards destination visit intention post-pandemic: Scale development and validation. International Journal of Tourism Policy, 12(2), 160. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJTP.2022.122234.
Hadriani, N. L. G., Gelgel, I. P., & Wibawa, I. P. S. (2021). Environmental conservation and socio-cultural preservation manifestations in tourism policy development in Bali. Journal of Environmental Management and Tourism (JEMT), 12(8), 2263–2271.
Harchandani, P., & Shome, S. (2023). The effects of COVID-19 on global tourism. International Journal of Business Innovation and Research, 31(2), 223–247. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJBIR.2023.131431.
Ikasari, H., Sugiyanto, F. X., & Kurnia, A. (2022). Model of international tourism demand in Indonesia during the Covid-19: Gravity model approach. E-Review of Tourism Research, 19(2), 237–260.
Iwahara, H. (2025). Search for sustainability: The transformation of Japanese perceptions of Bali in the twenty-first century. The Asia Pacific Journal of Anthropology, 26(4), 362–380. https://doi.org/10.1080/14442213.2025.2528642.
Mheidat, M. Z., & Marzuki, A. (2024). Key factors influencing tourist’s destination image: A perspective from international tourists in Jordan. Dirasat: Human and Social Sciences, 52(1), 365–371. https://doi.org/10.35516/hum.v52i1.5169.
Mirza, A. M., & Jain, R. K. (2024). Review of public transportation integration and modeling strategies: Toward seamless urban mobility. Multidisciplinary Reviews, 8(1), 2025018. https://doi.org/10.31893/multirev.2025018.
Mubarrok, W., Dewanti, D. S., & Purna, F. P. (2025). Do external factors affect the level of tourist visits. Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Terapan Universitas Jambi, 9(1), 323–332. https://doi.org/10.22437/jiituj.v9i1.32433.
Nugroho, R. A., Syafitri, E. D., & Yorika, R. (2021). The accessibility level of Balikpapan Botanical Garden according to public transportation routes (Balikpapan Botanical Garden development concept). 35–40. https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AST.104.35.
Papadopoulou, N. M., Ribeiro, M. A., & Prayag, G. (2023). Psychological determinants of tourist satisfaction and destination loyalty: The influence of perceived overcrowding and overtourism. Journal of Travel Research, 62(3), 644–662. https://doi.org/10.1177/00472875221089049.
Pedersen, D., Engel, S., & Sheridan, L. (2024). The impact of neoliberalism on crisis management in Bali’s tourism sector. Tourism Planning & Development, 21(6), 862–880. https://doi.org/10.1080/21568316.2024.2366408.
Purnamawati, I. G. A., Yuniarta, G. A., Diatmika, I. P. G., & Be, E. (2025). Unlocking sustainable ecotourism through multifacets: Exploring efforts to address overtourism for economic justice. Gestão & Produção, 32. https://doi.org/10.1590/1806-9649-2025v32e10724.
Rahayu, S. A. T. (2022). Analysis on tourist visit, investment, labors, and their influence on GRDP. Quality - Access to Success, 23(188). https://doi.org/10.47750/QAS/23.188.32.
Samsuri, M. A. A., Alamsyah, A., & Ramadhani, D. P. (2024). Mapping the evolution of tourist clusters: A dynamic modularity approach in multi-destination travel analysis. 2024 International Conference on Intelligent Cybernetics Technology & Applications (ICICyTA), 1013–1018. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICICYTA64807.2024.10912867.
Sann, R., Lai, P.-C., & Chen, C.-T. (2022). Crisis adaptation in a Thai community-based tourism setting during the COVID-19 pandemic: A qualitative phenomenological approach. Sustainability, 15(1), 340. https://doi.org/10.3390/su15010340.
Sarigiannidis, C., Halkiopoulos, C., & Boutsinas, B. (2025). Innovative pathways to sustainable tourism in Greece: Leveraging open environmental accounting and business ecosystems (pp. 741–767). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-78471-2_34.
Sciberras, M., & Dingli, A. (2023). Research analysis—Triangulation approach (pp. 31–32). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-19900-4_9.
Setiawan, G., Dewantara, M. H., Nimri, R., & Arli, D. (2024). The effect of perceived risks and overall risk perception on international tourists’ behavioural intention: Insights from Bali. Journal of Vacation Marketing. https://doi.org/10.1177/13567667241282688
Sihombing, I. H. H., Lemy, M. D., & Pramono, R. (2025). The power of culture in building trust and loyalty: A lesson learned from COVID-19 pandemic in Bali’s hotel industry. Jurnal Kajian Bali (Journal of Bali Studies), 15(2), 601–632. https://doi.org/10.24843/JKB.2025.v15.i02.p07.
Subadra, I. N. (2021). Destination management solution post COVID-19: Best practice from Bali – A world cultural tourism destination. In Tourism Destination Management in a Post-Pandemic Context (pp. 25–36). Emerald Publishing Limited. https://doi.org/10.1108/978-1-80071-511-020211024.
Suhardono, S., Lee, C.-H., & Suryawan, I. W. K. (2024). Trends in citizen influencing willingness to participate in marine debris management and social well-being in Bali metropolitan, Indonesia. Urban Governance, 4(4), 362–373. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ugj.2024.12.005.
Suryawan, I. W. K., Suhardono, S., Rahman, A., Phan, T. T. T., & Lee, C.-H. (2025). Redesigning tourism management using hypothetical scenario valuation based on circular economy design framework. Circular Economy and Sustainability, 5(5), 4027–4053. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43615-025-00581-9.
Sutapa, I. K., Nainggolan, P. P., Subadra, I. N., & Wisnawa, I. M. B. (2025). The impact of home-based food enterprises for sustainable tourism in Bali (pp. 215–233). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-99128-8_10.
Vardar, N. B., Cifter, A., Erhan, G., & Akay, G. H. (2025). Economic policy uncertainty and capital investment: Evidence from European tourism firms. Tourism Economics, 31(7), 1350–1370. https://doi.org/10.1177/13548166251314273.
Widanti, N. P. T., Dewi, N. D. U., & Pinatih, D. A. A. I. (2025). Edu-tourism: Sustainable tourism strategy based on social, economic and environmental in the province of Bali. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 1475(1), 012021. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1475/1/012021.
Wiradnyana, I. G. N. P., Suthanaya, P. A., Wedagama, D. M. P., Yana, A. A. G. A., & Dissanayake, D. (2021). Analysing the choice and pattern of needs of transportation mode for domestic tourists in Bali. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 673(1), 012019. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/673/1/012019.
Wisnumurti, A. A. G. O. (2023). Tourism recovery policy post corona virus disease outbreak 2019 (COVID-19) in Bali Province. Kasetsart Journal of Social Sciences, 44(2), 573–584. https://doi.org/10.34044/j.kjss.2023.44.2.28.
Yusuf, M., & Praptika, I. P. G. E. (2024). Development of Bali Spirit Festival to support sustainable spiritual tourism. International Journal of Religious Tourism and Pilgrimage, 11(6), 10. https://doi.org/10.21427/FR12-QM31.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Inka Sulistya, Nova Aprilina

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
1. Copyright Retention and Open Access License
Authors retain copyright of their work and grant the journal non-exclusive right of first publication under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).
This license allows unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
2. Rights Granted Under CC BY 4.0
Under this license, readers are free to:
- Share — copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format
- Adapt — remix, transform, and build upon the material for any purpose, including commercial use
- No additional restrictions — the licensor cannot revoke these freedoms as long as license terms are followed
3. Attribution Requirements
All uses must include:
- Proper citation of the original work
- Link to the Creative Commons license
- Indication if changes were made to the original work
- No suggestion that the licensor endorses the user or their use
4. Additional Distribution Rights
Authors may:
- Deposit the published version in institutional repositories
- Share through academic social networks
- Include in books, monographs, or other publications
- Post on personal or institutional websites
Requirement: All additional distributions must maintain the CC BY 4.0 license and proper attribution.
5. Self-Archiving and Pre-Print Sharing
Authors are encouraged to:
- Share pre-prints and post-prints online
- Deposit in subject-specific repositories (e.g., arXiv, bioRxiv)
- Engage in scholarly communication throughout the publication process
6. Open Access Commitment
This journal provides immediate open access to all content, supporting the global exchange of knowledge without financial, legal, or technical barriers.
